Three Star vs Manang Marshyangdi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Three Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
APF
1 - 4
STA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
LUM
0 - 1
STA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
JHA
0 - 0
STA
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
STA
1 - 2
POL
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
ARM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manang Marshyangdi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
POL
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
JHA
1 - 0
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
MAN
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 0
APF
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
ARM
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |