Thouars vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NIO
1 - 1
THO
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
LES
4 - 0
THO
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TOU
4 - 1
THO
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 0
THO
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
THO
1 - 1
AUX
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 0
CHO
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
TOU
6 - 3
ALE
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 1
LES
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 1
ALE
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 1
AUX
54%
24%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |