Thouars vs Sud Nivernais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LES
1 - 1
THO
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
THO
3 - 0
CRE
78%
14%
7%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
RCL
0 - 2
THO
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
THO
0 - 1
STP
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
THO
1 - 2
CLE
22%
26%
52%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -7 |
Matches
Sud Nivernais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SUD
1 - 0
MAL
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 0
SUD
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SUD
1 - 0
AUX
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BLO
2 - 3
SUD
76%
16%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |