Thouars vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
THO
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
THO
1 - 2
AAI
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NIO
2 - 0
THO
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
THO
3 - 3
NAN
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BLO
2 - 0
THO
39%
26%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 0
POI
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BLO
0 - 2
CHO
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 3
SAU
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
LPS
0 - 2
CHO
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 2
TOU
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |