Thouars vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
THO
0 - 0
ARM
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 1
THO
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
THO
5 - 0
CHA
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
AUX
1 - 1
THO
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
THO
2 - 1
BLO
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAL
42%
25%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 0
CHA
23%
24%
54%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
AUX
35%
26%
40%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BLO
1 - 0
CHA
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 0
ANG
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |