Thór vs Fjölnir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thór
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIK
1 - 3
THO
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
THO
4 - 0
TIN
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
THO
1 - 0
KAA
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
REY
1 - 2
THO
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
THO
3 - 2
BIB
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fjölnir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FJO
1 - 2
HOT
65%
20%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TIN
2 - 1
FJO
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
FJO
2 - 1
LEI
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
FJO
1 - 1
VIK
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
KAA
2 - 1
FJO
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |