Thonon Évian vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
15º
4º
35
6º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
JUR
1 - 1
THO
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
THO
1 - 1
OLY
48%
23%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 2
THO
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
THO
2 - 1
SAI
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LYO
1 - 0
THO
64%
20%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAI
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 3
SPO
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AUX
2 - 0
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
CSL
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |