Thonon Évian vs Olympique Lyonnais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
6º
40
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SEY
3 - 2
THO
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LYO
1 - 2
THO
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
THO
1 - 1
LIM
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
4 - 3
THO
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
THO
1 - 0
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
OLY
1 - 2
LYO
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
NOT
0 - 0
OLY
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LIM
2 - 0
OLY
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
FUL
0 - 2
OLY
73%
16%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
OLY
0 - 1
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |