Thonon Évian vs Moulins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
HAL
3 - 1
THO
33%
22%
46%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
THO
1 - 0
LDU
74%
15%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 2
THO
14%
18%
68%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 2
THO
24%
21%
54%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
THO
2 - 2
VAU
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MOU
3 - 2
BOU
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 1
MOU
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MOU
1 - 3
AIN
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MOU
2 - 3
HAL
20%
20%
59%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LDU
5 - 0
MOU
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |