Thonon Évian vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
15º
4º
51
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
THO
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
THO
6 - 1
SÈT
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CSL
0 - 1
THO
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
THO
1 - 0
FRE
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
THO
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LYO
3 - 0
SÈT
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 2
LYO
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LYO
1 - 1
CRF
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MGG
0 - 0
LYO
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LYO
3 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |