Thonon Évian vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
15º
4º
51
1º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CRF
1 - 3
THO
61%
23%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
THO
0 - 1
HYE
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MGG
1 - 0
THO
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
THO
4 - 2
ANN
10%
15%
75%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AIN
1 - 2
THO
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HYE
1 - 1
GRA
27%
28%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
JUR
2 - 0
GRA
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LYO
0 - 3
GRA
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GRA
4 - 2
HYE
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |