Thonon Évian vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
11º
36
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 2
THO
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THO
0 - 1
JUR
47%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AND
1 - 2
THO
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
THO
3 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
THO
0 - 6
HYE
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 2
HYE
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LPV
1 - 2
FRE
56%
26%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
CAN
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 1
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
GRA
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |