Thonon Évian vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis

Thonon Évian Fréjus St-Raphaël
45 ELO 47
-3.2% Tilt -2.7%
5900º General ELO ranking 3915º
138º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
42.3%
Thonon Évian
26.5%
Draw
31.2%
Fréjus St-Raphaël

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
Thonon Évian
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.2%
Win probability
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Thonon Évian
-20%
-15%
Fréjus St-Raphaël

Points and table prediction

Thonon Évian
Their league position
Fréjus St-Raphaël
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
15º
42
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marignane Gignac
56
57
100%
Grasse
51
54
36%
Lyon-Duchère
51
52
36%
Thonon Évian
48
49
36%
Jura Sud
49
49
36%
Fréjus St-Raphaël
42
43
70%
Auxerre II
41
42
35.5%
Olympique Alès
10º
35
41
49%
Hyères
39
40
37.5%
Canet Roussillon
11º
35
39
10º
61.5%
Aubagne
36
37
11º
50.5%
CS Louhans Cuiseaux
12º
35
36
12º
50.5%
Sporting Toulon Var
13º
35
36
13º
50.5%
Olympique Lyonnais II
14º
32
33
14º
100%
Saint-Priest
15º
26
29
15º
100%
Sète
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Thonon Évian
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Thonon Évian
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thonon Évian
Thonon Évian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
GRA
Grasse
1 - 1
Thonon Évian
THO
68%
19%
13%
44 54 10 0
04 Feb. 2023
THO
Thonon Évian
1 - 0
Canet Roussillon
CRF
37%
26%
38%
42 48 6 +2
21 Jan. 2023
HYE
Hyères
1 - 0
Thonon Évian
THO
41%
27%
33%
43 45 2 -1
14 Jan. 2023
THO
Thonon Évian
0 - 1
Auxerre II
AUX
33%
25%
42%
44 49 5 -1
07 Jan. 2023
THO
Thonon Évian
1 - 1
Sporting Toulon Var
SPO
44%
26%
30%
44 47 3 0

Matches

Fréjus St-Raphaël
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1 - 2
Canet Roussillon
CRF
50%
26%
24%
49 47 2 0
04 Feb. 2023
MGG
Marignane Gignac
1 - 0
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
39%
29%
32%
50 48 2 -1
28 Jan. 2023
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
0 - 0
Olympique Alès
OLY
55%
24%
21%
50 45 5 0
21 Jan. 2023
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
2 - 2
Sporting Toulon Var
SPO
57%
25%
18%
50 46 4 0
14 Jan. 2023
SAI
Saint-Priest
0 - 0
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
31%
27%
42%
50 43 7 0