Thonon Évian vs Chamalières analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
11º
26
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
THO
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
THO
2 - 1
OLY
47%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
JUR
0 - 0
THO
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
THO
0 - 0
AND
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 2
THO
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chamalières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
HYE
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
LPV
3 - 1
CHA
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
CAN
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AUB
3 - 1
CHA
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
GRA
25%
27%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |