Thonon Évian vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
6º
40
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 3
THO
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
THO
2 - 0
ESM
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SAE
1 - 1
THO
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
THO
4 - 1
CLE
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CDE
2 - 1
THO
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BOU
1 - 1
LYO
33%
25%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOU
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LIM
0 - 0
BOU
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BOU
2 - 1
MAC
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
BOU
0 - 0
REI
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | +1 |