Thonon Évian vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis

Thonon Évian Bourgoin-Jallieu
45 ELO 51
-3.2% Tilt -5.3%
5898º General ELO ranking 4979º
138º Country ELO ranking 104º
ELO win probability
38%
Thonon Évian
26.6%
Draw
35.4%
Bourgoin-Jallieu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
Thonon Évian
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.3%
Win probability
Bourgoin-Jallieu
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Thonon Évian
-19%
+2%
Bourgoin-Jallieu

Points and table prediction

Thonon Évian
Their league position
Bourgoin-Jallieu
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
12º
40
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Limonest
50
53
100%
Lyon-Duchère
44
47
100%
Bourgoin-Jallieu
40
43
83.5%
Olympique Lyonnais II
40
41
83.5%
Mâcon
40
40
61.5%
Thonon Évian
37
38
61.5%
Saint-Étienne II
35
35
54%
Chamalières
33
34
47.5%
Hauts Lyonnais
11º
28
31
33.5%
Seyssinet
30
30
10º
43%
Chassieu Decines
10º
29
29
11º
38%
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
13º
26
27
12º
15.5%
Clermont II
12º
27
27
13º
39%
Chambéry
14º
25
25
14º
78.5%
Expected probabilities
Thonon Évian
Bourgoin-Jallieu
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Thonon Évian
Bourgoin-Jallieu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thonon Évian
Thonon Évian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2025
CHA
Chambéry
2 - 3
Thonon Évian
THO
29%
26%
45%
46 39 7 0
22 Feb. 2025
THO
Thonon Évian
2 - 0
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
ESM
57%
23%
20%
45 38 7 +1
16 Feb. 2025
SAE
Saint-Étienne II
1 - 1
Thonon Évian
THO
31%
26%
43%
45 39 6 0
08 Feb. 2025
THO
Thonon Évian
4 - 1
Clermont II
CLE
67%
20%
14%
44 34 10 +1
25 Jan. 2025
CDE
Chassieu Decines
2 - 1
Thonon Évian
THO
29%
25%
46%
45 32 13 -1

Matches

Bourgoin-Jallieu
Bourgoin-Jallieu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2025
BOU
Bourgoin-Jallieu
1 - 1
Lyon-Duchère
LYO
33%
25%
41%
50 54 4 0
01 Mar. 2025
CHA
Chamalières
1 - 1
Bourgoin-Jallieu
BOU
29%
28%
43%
50 44 6 0
22 Feb. 2025
LIM
Limonest
0 - 0
Bourgoin-Jallieu
BOU
32%
27%
41%
50 45 5 0
15 Feb. 2025
BOU
Bourgoin-Jallieu
2 - 1
Mâcon
MAC
55%
23%
23%
49 46 3 +1
06 Feb. 2025
BOU
Bourgoin-Jallieu
0 - 0
Stade de Reims
REI
12%
20%
68%
48 87 39 +1