Thisted vs Marienlyst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
BFR
0 - 0
THI
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
THI
3 - 1
FRE
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BRØ
2 - 3
THI
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
THI
0 - 1
AKA
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
THI
39%
24%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
AAF
36%
24%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AKA
6 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
MID
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HVI
5 - 1
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
THI
39%
24%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |