Thisted vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
11º
11º
30
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 1
THI
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
NAE
2 - 1
THI
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
HOL
1 - 0
THI
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
AUD
0 - 0
THI
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
IFL
0 - 1
THI
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NAE
1 - 3
FRE
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AKA
1 - 2
FRE
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FRE
0 - 1
AVA
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
FRE
2 - 0
LFA
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
ESB
3 - 0
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |