Thisted vs FA 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HIL
5 - 1
THI
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
THI
2 - 1
NAE
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 1
THI
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
THI
3 - 1
HEL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MID
0 - 0
THI
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
FA2
0 - 2
KOL
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAE
2 - 1
FA2
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FA2
0 - 3
HVI
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FA2
1 - 1
AAF
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HIL
2 - 0
FA2
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |