Thisted vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
THI
1 - 1
HEL
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
FRE
3 - 2
THI
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
THI
0 - 0
AKA
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2006 |
THI
2 - 1
KAL
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
B19
3 - 3
THI
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
OLS
1 - 2
AGF
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
AGF
2 - 3
NAE
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
AGF
4 - 1
KOL
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
AGF
0 - 2
OBK
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ESB
1 - 3
AGF
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |