Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
6º
48
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
1 - 5
THI
4%
10%
86%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
THI
2 - 0
SIK
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
HOB
3 - 0
THI
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
THI
3 - 1
HEL
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AKA
3 - 1
THI
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
AIA
0 - 9
AAF
4%
9%
87%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MID
3 - 2
AAF
23%
22%
55%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 1
IFL
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
VEJ
0 - 0
AAF
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 0
MID
61%
21%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |