Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
THI
0 - 1
B93
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
OFA
0 - 4
THI
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 0
THI
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
KJE
3 - 0
THI
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
THI
2 - 0
HOL
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
AAF
1 - 1
SKI
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NAS
1 - 2
AAF
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
VAT
1 - 5
AAF
8%
14%
79%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
AAF
2 - 1
HOL
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FRE
2 - 2
AAF
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |