Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
JAM
2 - 1
THI
20%
22%
58%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
THI
1 - 1
VEJ
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SKI
1 - 2
THI
18%
22%
61%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
THI
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
THI
3 - 2
JAM
74%
16%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
VEJ
1 - 4
AAF
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AAF
0 - 5
JAM
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KJE
2 - 2
AAF
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ODD
1 - 4
AAF
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
AAF
0 - 3
BRA
36%
26%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |