Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
B19
1 - 2
THI
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
THI
3 - 2
LIF
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
OTB
0 - 3
THI
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
THI
3 - 0
TJO
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
JAM
3 - 2
THI
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AAF
2 - 2
RIS
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
AAF
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SVE
0 - 4
AAF
32%
25%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AAF
3 - 1
SKI
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AAF
2 - 1
VAR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |