Third Lanark vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
TLA
4 - 0
ALB
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
QOS
1 - 2
TLA
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
TLA
3 - 3
KIL
61%
19%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
GLA
5 - 1
TLA
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
TLA
1 - 1
ABE
45%
23%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
HAM
1 - 2
STM
77%
14%
10%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
STM
3 - 1
ABE
30%
22%
49%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
HOM
5 - 2
STM
82%
11%
7%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
STM
1 - 1
ALB
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
RAI
1 - 3
STM
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |