Third Lanark vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
30.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
TLA
2 - 4
CLY
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
HIB
6 - 1
TLA
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
TLA
1 - 3
ABE
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
DUN
2 - 2
TLA
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
TLA
2 - 5
GLA
41%
23%
36%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
STM
1 - 3
HAM
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
RAI
1 - 5
STM
35%
24%
42%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
STM
5 - 4
KIL
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
FAL
2 - 2
STM
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
STM
1 - 0
CLY
78%
14%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |