Third Lanark vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1914 |
TLA
1 - 3
CEL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1914 |
RAI
3 - 0
TLA
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
ABE
0 - 0
TLA
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
TLA
1 - 1
AIR
58%
23%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
TLA
2 - 1
FAL
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
RAI
5 - 1
STM
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1914 |
STM
1 - 0
PAR
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
AIR
3 - 1
STM
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
HIB
5 - 3
STM
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
GRE
4 - 0
STM
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |