Third Lanark vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
TLA
0 - 2
ABE
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
TLA
1 - 1
MHE
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
DUN
3 - 1
TLA
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
TLA
1 - 0
HAM
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
FAL
7 - 0
TLA
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
STM
2 - 0
HOM
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
QUE
2 - 0
STM
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
CLY
3 - 0
STM
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
STM
1 - 1
DUN
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
HIB
0 - 0
STM
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |