Third Lanark vs St Bernard's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1896 |
HOM
2 - 1
TLA
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1896 |
ABE
1 - 2
TLA
31%
22%
47%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1896 |
TLA
1 - 3
HIB
41%
23%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1896 |
GLA
6 - 1
TLA
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1896 |
CEL
2 - 0
TLA
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
St Bernard's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1896 |
STM
4 - 0
STB
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1896 |
STB
2 - 1
DUN
41%
23%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1896 |
HOM
3 - 1
STB
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1896 |
STB
0 - 2
STM
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1896 |
STB
0 - 1
HIB
34%
23%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |