Third Lanark vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
14.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1938 |
HOM
4 - 2
TLA
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1938 |
ABE
6 - 1
TLA
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1938 |
TLA
1 - 4
HOM
41%
22%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
TLA
1 - 1
PAR
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
MHE
4 - 4
TLA
71%
16%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1938 |
RAI
3 - 1
AYR
53%
21%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1938 |
RAI
2 - 4
PAR
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1938 |
AYR
2 - 1
RAI
64%
19%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1929 |
HOM
1 - 1
RAI
82%
11%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1929 |
RAI
1 - 1
QUE
38%
23%
38%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |