Third Lanark vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
GLA
5 - 1
TLA
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
TLA
1 - 1
ABE
45%
23%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
TLA
5 - 1
QUE
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
HAM
4 - 3
TLA
62%
18%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1938 |
TLA
5 - 0
RAI
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
KIL
1 - 1
ARB
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
HIB
0 - 1
KIL
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
STM
0 - 1
KIL
50%
21%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
KIL
1 - 0
STJ
44%
22%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1938 |
MHE
5 - 2
KIL
76%
13%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |