Third Lanark vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
MHE
3 - 2
TLA
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1914 |
TLA
4 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
TLA
3 - 0
RAI
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
TLA
0 - 0
FAL
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
TLA
1 - 1
QUE
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
KIL
1 - 0
FAL
26%
23%
51%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
AIR
0 - 2
KIL
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
KIL
1 - 2
AYR
51%
21%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1914 |
MHE
3 - 2
KIL
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
KIL
0 - 2
HOM
26%
23%
51%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |