Third Lanark vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
ABE
2 - 1
TLA
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
QOS
4 - 1
TLA
42%
23%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
TLA
3 - 3
MHE
62%
19%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
CLY
0 - 2
TLA
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
TLA
3 - 0
FAL
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
STM
3 - 3
HOM
44%
22%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
HOM
5 - 2
HIB
38%
23%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
CEL
3 - 2
HOM
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
HOM
0 - 1
EAS
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
EAS
4 - 3
HOM
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |