Third Lanark vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1947 |
QUE
0 - 0
TLA
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
TLA
1 - 1
GLA
33%
21%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1946 |
TLA
5 - 3
CLY
52%
21%
28%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1946 |
GRE
2 - 0
TLA
60%
18%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1946 |
TLA
1 - 1
QOS
61%
19%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1947 |
HOM
2 - 3
HIB
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
STM
1 - 0
HOM
25%
21%
54%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1946 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1946 |
PAR
1 - 2
HOM
40%
21%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1946 |
HOM
1 - 1
FAL
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |