Third Lanark vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
STM
1 - 2
TLA
26%
23%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
GLA
2 - 1
TLA
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
TLA
2 - 1
HIB
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
RAI
2 - 2
TLA
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
TLA
2 - 0
AYR
64%
19%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
HOM
4 - 0
AIR
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
QUE
1 - 1
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
CLY
1 - 1
HOM
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
HOM
1 - 1
RAI
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |