Third Lanark vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1919 |
AIR
1 - 6
TLA
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1919 |
TLA
2 - 3
CEL
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1919 |
TLA
2 - 0
CLY
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1919 |
PAR
1 - 2
TLA
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1918 |
TLA
1 - 3
HAM
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1919 |
HOM
3 - 1
HIB
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1919 |
AYR
1 - 2
HOM
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1918 |
HOM
0 - 0
AIR
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1918 |
FAL
0 - 0
HOM
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1918 |
PAR
3 - 1
HOM
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |