Third Lanark vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1906 |
ABE
0 - 2
TLA
36%
24%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1906 |
TLA
2 - 2
HAM
85%
10%
6%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1906 |
TLA
3 - 1
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1906 |
TLA
1 - 2
AIR
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1906 |
CEL
0 - 1
TLA
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1906 |
HOM
1 - 1
STM
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1906 |
CLY
1 - 3
HOM
18%
20%
62%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1906 |
HOM
2 - 2
GLA
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1906 |
HOM
2 - 0
GRE
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |