Third Lanark vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1897 |
CEL
4 - 0
TLA
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1897 |
TLA
6 - 1
CLY
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1897 |
HOM
2 - 3
TLA
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1897 |
HIB
6 - 0
TLA
68%
18%
15%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1897 |
STB
1 - 3
TLA
61%
19%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1897 |
HOM
8 - 1
CLY
75%
15%
11%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1897 |
STM
3 - 1
HOM
29%
22%
50%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1897 |
STB
1 - 5
HOM
21%
20%
59%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1897 |
HOM
2 - 3
TLA
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1897 |
CLY
2 - 2
HOM
23%
19%
58%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |