Third Lanark vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1895 |
DUN
2 - 0
TLA
35%
23%
42%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1895 |
CEL
7 - 0
TLA
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1895 |
TLA
6 - 2
CLY
72%
15%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1895 |
TLA
5 - 2
DUM
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1895 |
TLA
3 - 4
DUN
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1895 |
HOM
1 - 4
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1895 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1895 |
HOM
5 - 1
STM
72%
16%
13%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1895 |
DUM
2 - 9
HOM
27%
22%
51%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1895 |
DUN
5 - 0
HOM
24%
22%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |