Third Lanark vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
COW
2 - 2
TLA
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1891 |
TLA
1 - 2
CAM
36%
23%
41%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
DUM
5 - 1
TLA
49%
21%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
4 - 1
TLA
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1891 |
STM
3 - 2
TLA
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
STM
3 - 2
HOM
36%
25%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
4 - 1
TLA
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1891 |
COW
1 - 2
HOM
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1891 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |