Third Lanark vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1919 |
DUM
4 - 3
TLA
23%
22%
54%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1919 |
TLA
4 - 2
HIB
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1919 |
TLA
1 - 0
STM
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1919 |
TLA
1 - 1
AYR
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1919 |
MHE
1 - 1
TLA
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1919 |
DUM
4 - 3
TLA
23%
22%
54%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1919 |
HAM
0 - 3
DUM
67%
19%
15%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1919 |
STM
2 - 0
DUM
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1919 |
DUM
0 - 1
KIL
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1919 |
DUM
1 - 0
CLY
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |