Third Lanark vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
TLA
0 - 2
CEL
42%
22%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
STM
3 - 2
TLA
44%
22%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
TLA
1 - 2
GLA
39%
22%
39%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
ALB
2 - 4
TLA
38%
22%
41%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
TLA
0 - 1
QOS
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
ARB
1 - 2
FAL
32%
22%
46%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
ARB
2 - 0
MHE
27%
21%
52%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
ARB
4 - 1
KIL
40%
23%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
STJ
4 - 3
ARB
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
RAI
1 - 3
ARB
65%
19%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |