Third Lanark vs Abercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
DUM
1 - 2
TLA
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
TLA
2 - 4
GLA
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
CLY
1 - 4
TLA
42%
23%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1892 |
STM
1 - 4
TLA
40%
24%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1892 |
TLA
1 - 4
HOM
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
ABE
1 - 0
LEI
43%
24%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1892 |
STM
4 - 0
ABE
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
CEL
3 - 2
ABE
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
ABE
3 - 4
HOM
28%
23%
50%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1892 |
CLY
5 - 2
ABE
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -2 |