Thimphu Raven vs BFF Academy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
77.9%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
5º
5º
14
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thimphu Raven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TEN
1 - 1
TRA
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
UGY
12 - 0
TRA
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
GLP
2 - 1
TRA
43%
21%
36%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 16
RTC
7%
13%
81%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
PRF
6 - 1
TRA
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BFF Academy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BUT
2 - 0
TEN
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
BUT
1 - 2
RTC
28%
21%
52%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
BUT
0 - 2
TRU
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 7
BUT
36%
21%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
THC
2 - 0
BUT
70%
15%
15%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |