Thimphu City vs Ugyen Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thimphu City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 2
THC
40%
22%
38%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PFC
2 - 6
THC
7%
10%
83%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
THC
0 - 1
THI
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
THC
8%
11%
81%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
UGY
1 - 1
THC
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ugyen Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
THI
1 - 2
UGY
7%
15%
77%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
UGY
11%
18%
72%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
UGY
5 - 1
PFC
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
UGY
0 - 1
TRU
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
UGY
1 - 1
THC
69%
17%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |