Thika United vs Chemelil Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ULI
1 - 1
THI
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
THI
0 - 0
WES
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TUS
2 - 1
THI
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SON
3 - 0
THI
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
THI
4 - 0
POS
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
MUH
44%
31%
26%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SON
0 - 1
CHE
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
KAR
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
MAT
2 - 2
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
OSE
47%
28%
26%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |