Thierrens vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BAV
4 - 2
THI
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
THI
7 - 0
BAU
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
THI
3 - 1
GUM
56%
21%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DUR
4 - 1
THI
36%
24%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
TPA
4 - 2
THI
50%
22%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
FCL
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 1
STA
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
USC
0 - 2
FCL
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 1
SBC
64%
19%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CSC
1 - 0
FCL
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |