Thesprotos vs Philippos Alexandreia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
4º
9º
6º
50
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 88 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 87 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 50 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 50 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 45 |
13º
|
97% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 9 |
17º
|
30.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 9 |
18º
|
30.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 42.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 0
THE
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
THE
3 - 1
EMA
80%
12%
7%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GIA
2 - 0
THE
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AEL
1 - 3
THE
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
THE
3 - 0
POF
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Philippos Alexandreia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PHA
1 - 1
AMV
86%
10%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
PHA
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
LAN
9 - 0
PHA
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +6 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PHA
0 - 7
IRA
14%
24%
63%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
KAM
3 - 1
PHA
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |