Thesprotos vs Thyella Katsika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
9º
15º
11º
45
9º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AGN
1 - 0
THE
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
THE
2 - 1
KIL
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NEA
2 - 1
THE
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
THE
2 - 0
AST
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
THE
1 - 3
AEL
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Thyella Katsika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 1
AEL
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POF
0 - 3
PAS
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 2
ENK
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PIE
1 - 1
PAS
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 2
PAS
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |