Thesprotos vs Magnisiakos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
9º
15º
11º
1
13º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 2
THE
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
AST
0 - 0
THE
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
THE
2 - 1
AGN
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 1
THE
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
THE
0 - 1
NEA
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Magnisiakos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MGN
0 - 1
AEL
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 0
MGN
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
POF
3 - 0
MGN
87%
10%
4%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MGN
1 - 2
ENK
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MGN
0 - 1
PIE
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |