Thesprotos vs Kastoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
9º
15º
11º
33
2º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZAK
4 - 3
THE
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
THE
2 - 0
MGN
88%
9%
4%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 2
THE
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
AST
0 - 0
THE
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
THE
2 - 1
AGN
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kastoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 1
AEL
47%
25%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
3 - 1
POF
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ENK
4 - 1
KAS
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
VAT
0 - 2
KAS
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
0 - 1
PIE
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |